Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $715,868$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{681,317.1}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 124.8)}}\) (asimptote \(681,317.1\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $18,968$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18,393.0}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 125.7)}}\) (asimptote \(18,393.0\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50,730$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,396$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,215.6}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 200.4)}}\) (asimptote \(13,215.6\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $94$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{263.5}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 247.2)}}\) (asimptote \(263.5\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,017$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $56,013$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{71,672.1}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 186.9)}}\) (asimptote \(71,672.1\))
Start date 2020-04-02 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $795$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,026.0}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 179.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,026.0\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,487$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $197,481$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{438,572.6}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 230.6)}}\) (asimptote \(438,572.6\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,301$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,018.6}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 212.1)}}\) (asimptote \(6,018.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $30,985$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $48,799$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $819$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $42,948$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,536$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,351.8}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 69.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,351.8\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{59.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 58.8)}}\) (asimptote \(59.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $73$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $106,540$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102,328.0}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 97.7)}}\) (asimptote \(102,328.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,199$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,938.3}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 102.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,938.3\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,438$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,079$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,229.3}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 108.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,229.3\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $83$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85.2}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 74.5)}}\) (asimptote \(85.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34$ on 2020-10-25